Monday night, five races were called for Republicans, making it almost impossible for Democrats to keep the House majority.
As of late Monday night, only 14 House seats had not been called yet. So far, it has been predicted that Republicans will win 217 seats and Democrats will win 204. To keep the chamber, Democrats would have to win all of them, which is almost impossible.
Monday night, Republicans won a number of big races, which all but guaranteed them the majority in the House, even though it looks like it will be a very narrow victory. In Arizona’s 1st District, Republican Rep. David Schweikert barely beat Democrat Jevin Hodge. In the open 6th District, Republican Juan Ciscomani, who has worked for Gov. Doug Ducey for many years, beat Democrat Kirsten Engel.
Republicans also had races in California, and both Rep. Michelle Steel and Rep. Ken Calvert won in their districts in Southern California. Brandon Williams, a Republican, also won an open seat in a swing district near Syracuse, New York, which is in the state’s north.
Who Won The Most Close Races For The House?
Many of the last races that haven’t been called yet are in California, which has always taken longer to count votes than most other states. Rep. David Valadao, Rep. Mike Garcia, and Kevin Kiley are all ahead in their races. In Colorado’s 3rd District, Republicans also have a small lead, with Rep. Lauren Boebert in front by a little more than 1,000 votes.
After being in the majority for eight years, Republicans lost control of a chamber in the 2018 midterm elections. If they win one more seat, they will be able to take control of that chamber again. Leaders of the Democratic Party, like Vice President Joe Biden, have admitted that it is true.
Biden told reporters at the G-20 summit in Indonesia on Monday morning, “I think we’re going to get very close in the House.” “I think it will come down to the wire, but I don’t think we’ll make it.”
The fact that Democrats still have a mathematical chance of getting a majority this late after the election is a big change from what people thought before the election. Even on the morning of the election, Republicans were sure of a “red wave,” and if they win in the end, their theoretical majority in the House will probably be no more than a few seats.
There are big questions about who will lead three of the four groups in Congress. Only the Senate Democrats, led by Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, seem to have found their leader. On the House side, the right side of the Republican Party is openly talking about how to make it harder or impossible for Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy to become speaker if the GOP wins control of the chamber. And there are questions about Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the other octogenarians who work with her in the Democratic leadership.
It was thought that the triumvirate would step down after this year’s midterm elections. However, the Democrats’ better-than-expected performance may have changed that. Pelosi made several appearances on Sunday shows this weekend, but she did not make any promises about her political future. She told CNN’s Dana Bash that “my members are asking me to consider” staying in party leadership.
And in the Senate, a small but vocal group of Republicans have been pushing for a delay in their leadership elections. This is an implicit rebuke of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who will be in the minority for at least another term.
Many of these Republicans have said that the upcoming runoff between Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker in Georgia is their reason. Even though the Dec. 6 election won’t decide which party has the most seats in the Senate, it could still have big effects on who runs the chamber.
The timing of this year’s runoffs is very different from the ones in January 2021, when Republican Rick Warnock beat then-Senator Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Jon Ossoff beat then-Senator David Perdue to give Democrats a majority in the Senate. After losing both runoff elections, Republicans in the state changed the law to make the time between elections shorter. This year’s runoff is in early December, which is only four weeks after the election.
One effect of the short runoff campaign is a much shorter early voting period. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported Sunday that there will be no Saturday early voting in this election. Voters will also have much less time to ask for mail-in ballots and send them back.
The runoff is coming up quickly, and former President Donald Trump is expected to announce a run for president in 2024 on Tuesday night at his Florida estate. This announcement, which was planned and scheduled before last week’s midterms, has made some in the GOP worry that the former president’s campaign in 2024 could re-energize the same voters who helped Democrats win two Senate seats in 2021.
Monday night also saw the end of the biggest uncalled race outside of Georgia. In Arizona, Democrat Katie Hobbs narrowly beat Republican Kari Lake in the race for governor.
Hobbs, who is leaving his job as secretary of state, pushed past Lake, a former TV anchor who supports Trump. After the final important vote count from Maricopa County, the state’s largest county, came out late Monday, most news outlets predicted that she would win. In the end, Lake couldn’t catch up enough to beat Hobbs, so Hobbs became the first Democrat to be governor in over a decade.
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The race between the two women was very hard-fought. Lake was probably the most outspoken pro-Trump statewide candidate in the country this election cycle. He proudly repeated Trump’s lies about a “stolen” 2020 election, which Hobbs, as secretary of state in Arizona, helped to plan.
“I will work just as hard for the Arizonans who didn’t vote for me, because even though we’re at odds right now, I think there’s so much more that brings us together,” Hobbs said in a statement right after she won.
Before the election, there were a lot of worries that Republican candidates like Lake, who repeated false claims that the election system was rigged, would not accept that they had lost. But most people who believed the myth that the 2020 election would be stolen quietly gave up on their own races this year.
Late on Monday, Lake did not publicly apologise to Hobbs right away. Instead, he sent out a tweet that said, “Arizonans know BS when they see it.”
Aside from Arizona, the Senate, governor, and at-large House races in Alaska have not yet been called. That’s partly because the state is far away, which means it takes longer for ballots to get to election officials, and partly because of the state’s new ranked choice voting system. There, Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy seems likely to win another term, and Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola, who won a special election over the summer, seems likely to win a full term once the ranked choice voting is done.
Even though Alaska’s Senate seat will be held by a Republican, it is still not clear who will speak for the state in the chamber. Kelly Tshibaka, who is running against Sen. Lisa Murkowski and is backed by Trump, has a small lead, but the race is likely to come down to the large number of voters who didn’t vote for either woman in the first round. This group of voters is expected to vote for Murkowski.
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