California Republicans Win The House, But Several Races Are Close

Several close races for the U.S. House of Representatives that have not yet been decided did not change much after the most recent round of ballot counting in California. When the California Secretary of State’s office updated election results at 4:30 p.m., only four of the 11 races we talked about this morning had new results says that as of Friday afternoon, this is where each race stood and how much of the expected vote was in.

3rd District: Republican Kevin Kiley 53.3%, Democrat Kermit Jones 47% (51% of an expected vote in)

9th District: Democrat Josh Harder (incumbent) 56.3%, Republican Tom Patti 43.7% (36% of an expected vote in)

13th District: Republican John Duarte 50.2%, Democrat Adam Gray 49.8% (44% of an expected vote in)

22nd District: Republican David Valadao (incumbent) 54.2%, Democrat Rudy Salas 45.8% (32% of an expected vote in)

26th District: Democrat Julia Brownley (incumbent) 54.3%, Republican Matt Jacobs 45.7% (54% of an expected vote in)

27th District: Republican Mike Garcia (incumbent) 56%, Democrat Christy Smith 44% (50% of an expected vote in)

40th District: Republican Young Kim (incumbent) 58.6%, Democrat Asif Mahmood 41.4% (59% of an expected vote in)

41st District: Republican Ken Calvert (incumbent) 50.5%, Democrat Will Rollins 49.5% (43% of an expected vote in)

45th District: Republican Michelle Steel (incumbent) 54.5%, Democrat Jay Chen 45.5% (55% of an expected vote in)

47th District: Democrat Katie Porter (incumbent) 50.8%, Republican Scott Baugh 49.2% (63% of an expected vote in)

49th District: Democrat Mike Levin (incumbent) 51.7%, Republican Brian Maryott 48.3% (64% of expected vote in)

In the state’s 3rd and 27th districts, Democratic candidates Kermit Jones and Christy Smith gained a little ground, but they were still several percentage points behind their Republican opponents.

In the state’s 40th District, Republican Young Kim slightly increased her lead over Democratic candidate Asif Mahmood. In the state’s 45th District, Democratic challenger Jay Chen got a few more votes in his favour, but he is still a long way behind Republican incumbent Michelle Steel.

Young Kim Is Re-elected, And The Race Between Calvert And Rollins Gets Closer

The Associated Press predicted that incumbent Republican Rep. Young Kim would easily defeat his Democratic rival, Asif Mahmood, in California’s 40th Congressional District on Thursday night.

There are other close congressional contests in California, but this is the only one that has been called. Neither party has declared victory in the House of Representatives yet, and the battle for the chamber could come down to the Golden State. See where things stand as of Friday morning, as well as best guess as to what percentage of the vote has been counted thus far.

3rd District: Republican Kevin Kiley 53.3%, Democrat Kermit Jones 46.7% (45% of an expected vote in)

9th District: Democrat Josh Harder (incumbent) 56.3%, Republican Tom Patti 43.7% (36% of expected vote in)

13th District: Republican John Duarte 50.2%, Democrat Adam Gray 49.8% (44% of expected vote in)

22nd District: Republican David Valadao (incumbent) 54.2%, Democrat Rudy Salas 45.8% (32% of expected vote in)

26th District: Democrat Julia Brownley (incumbent) 54.2%, Republican Matt Jacobs 45.8% (54% of expected vote in)

27th District: Republican Mike Garcia (incumbent) 56.4%, Democrat Christy Smith 43.6% (49% of expected vote in)

40th District: Republican Young Kim (incumbent) 58.5%, Democrat Asif Mahmood 41.5% (59% of expected vote in)

41st District: Republican Ken Calvert (incumbent) 50.5%, Democrat Will Rollins 49.5% (43% of expected vote in)

45th District: Republican Michelle Steel (incumbent) 54.6%, Democrat Jay Chen 45.4% (55% of expected vote in)

47th District: Democrat Katie Porter (incumbent) 50.8%, Republican Scott Baugh 49.2% (63% of expected vote in)

49th District: Democrat Mike Levin (incumbent) 51.7%, Republican Brian Maryott 48.3% (64% of expected vote in)

On Thursday, updated vote tallies were released for all 11 contests, with some races shifting in the Democrats’ favour and others benefiting the Republicans. Rep. Ken Calvert made the biggest gain, overtaking his Democratic opponent Will Rollins, in Florida’s 41st Congressional District. However, with only 43% of the projected vote in, there is still a ways to go.

More Updates:

Not Much New About The House Races In California

As election officials across California and the rest of the country continued to count ballots on Wednesday, only a select few contested House races saw updates.

Just five of the eleven races we highlighted yesterday morning had updated results by this morning: the 40th, 41st, 45th, 47th, and 49th districts. As of 8:20 AM EST, the current situation is summarised below.

3rd District: Republican Kevin Kiley 53.1%, Democrat Kermit Jones 46.9% (44% of expected vote in)

9th District: Democrat Josh Harder (incumbent) 56.4%, Republican Tom Patti 43.6% (36% of expected vote in)

13th District: Republican John Duarte 50.1%, Democrat Adam Gray 49.9% (40% of expected vote in)

22nd District: Republican David Valadao (incumbent) 54.0%, Democrat Rudy Salas 46.0% (30% of expected vote in)

26th District: Democrat Julia Brownley (incumbent) 53.9%, Republican Matt Jacobs 46.1% (48% of expected vote in)

27th District: Republican Mike Garcia (incumbent) 57.6%, Democrat Christy Smith 42.4% (44% of expected vote in)

40th District: Republican Young Kim (incumbent) 59.0%, Democrat Asif Mahmood 41.0% (55% of expected vote in)

41st District: Democrat Will Rollins 54.2%, Republican Ken Calvert (incumbent) 45.8% (33% of expected vote in)

45th District: Republican Michelle Steel (incumbent) 55.0%, Democrat Jay Chen 45.0% (52% of expected vote in)

47th District: Democrat Katie Porter (incumbent) 50.5%, Republican Scott Baugh 49.5% (59% of expected vote in)

49th District: Democrat Mike Levin (incumbent) 51.1%, Republican Brian Maryott 48.9% (58% of expected vote in)

Minor gains were made by the Democrats in four of the five contests. Among the four candidates, Mahmood, Chen, Porter, and Levin all saw increases in their vote totals ranging from 0.1% to 0.3%. In contrast, Republican Ken Calvert gained 2.0% of the vote in the fifth contest.

Throughout the day, the most votes were added for that race; on Wednesday, projected that 28% of the vote was in, and on Thursday, that estimate grew to 33%. The projected vote total for the remaining four contests did not rise by more than 2% between Wednesday and Thursday. We won’t know the winners of these races for days, if not weeks.

More Updates:

After The “Red Wave” Doesn’t Happen On A National Level, All Eyes Are On California

As of Wednesday morning, control of the House of Representatives has not been declared in favour of either party, and the “red wave” that many Republicans had hoped for in congressional contests did not materialise.

There are a number of close House contests in California that cannot be called at this time. Here’s where things stand in the most high-profile races, along with an estimate of how much of the vote each candidate can expect to receive.

9th District: Democrat Josh Harder (incumbent) 56.4%, Republican Tom Patti 43.6% (36% of expected vote in)

13th District: Republican John Duarte 50.1%, Democrat Adam Gray 49.9% (40% of expected vote in)

22nd District: Republican David Valadao (incumbent) 54.0%, Democrat Rudy Salas 46.0% (30% of expected vote in)

26th District: Democrat Julia Brownley (incumbent) 53.9%, Republican Matt Jacobs 46.1% (48% of expected vote in)

27th District: Republican Mike Garcia (incumbent) 57.6%, Democrat Christy Smith 42.4% (44% of expected vote in)

40th District: Republican Young Kim (incumbent) 59.1%, Democrat Asif Mahmood 40.9% (54% of expected vote in)

41st District: Democrat Will Rollins 56.2%, Republican Ken Calvert (incumbent) 43.8% (28% of expected vote in)

45th District: Republican Michelle Steel (incumbent) 55.3%, Democrat Jay Chen 44.7% (50% of expected vote in)

47th District: Democrat Katie Porter (incumbent) 50.3%, Republican Scott Baugh 49.7% (58% of expected vote in)

49th District: Democrat Mike Levin (incumbent) 51.0%, Republican Brian Maryott 49.0% (57% of expected vote in)

Only in the Orange County races (40th, 45th, 47th and 49th districts) is more than 50% of the expected vote in, meaning it will be a while before we have a more complete picture of how these races are going to go.

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